Tuesday Night Results
Looks like who ever you followed you would have made money tonight! The Hot Shot Predictor maintained it’s 100% Strike Rate and the Play Away 2 Lay system selection was spot on, now 9 out of 11.
Looking at the fixtures tomorrow I do not think there will be any lays but there should be another Score Predictor Bet.
Good Night
TDT
Hot Shot Score Predictor – Bet 5
Evening,
First of all I would like to apologise for under stating my results. I mis-calculated the effect of the 5% commission on the spreadsheet I recently devised for you (amended version with results available on request).
After re-calculating the correct commission the current bank is £1226.oo and not £1208.76. Now we have got the 1st few win bets under the belt (4 out of 4) I feel we can take on a bit more calculated risk.
Tonight I’m going to have a go at predicting the Fiorentina vs Lyon Match for a return of 68.52%
Starting Bank: £1000, Current Bank: £1226.00, Stake: 10%
| Stake | £122.60 | |||
| Score | Decimal Odds | Stake Amount | Winnings | |
| 0-1 | 12 | £17.22 | £206.60 | |
| 1-0 | 8.4 | £24.60 | £206.60 | |
| 1-1 | 7.2 | £28.69 | £206.60 | |
| 2-1 | 11 | £18.78 | £206.60 | |
| 1-2 | 16 | £12.91 | £206.60 | |
| 2-2 | 18 | £11.48 | £206.60 | |
| 2-3 | 55 | £3.76 | £206.60 | |
| 3-2 | 40 | £5.17 | £206.60 | |
| ROI % | 68.52% | |||
| * Profit Gain £ | £79.80 | |||
| * After 5% exchange commission | ||||
Available Odds below. I know the liquidity is a bit poor at the moment but will firm up nearer kick-off. I have to go out tonight so can only provide details as at 6:05pm. Try and be savy and get better prices than i did. I’m basically taking on the 0-0 and 2-0’s
Good Luck
The Disciplined Trader (TDT)
Play Away 2 Lay System
Evening Folks,
So far we have had 8 out 10 successful lays (+3.19 pts after 5% commission)
We just have the one lay tonight:
Lay 1pt – Shrewsbury (vs. Hereford) @ 2.96
If the odds are right there might be a score predictor around 6pm.
Hot Shot Score Predictor – Bet 4
Hi Folks,
Please find below Bet 4 for the Hot Shot Score Predictor. To be honest the 3 premiership games today are fairly unpredictable as all 6 teams are scoring and conceeding for fun, so I’ve taken a more cautious view and decided to predict the score on Stoke vs Portsmouth game for a 38.34% return.
Starting Bank: £1000, Current Bank Bank: £1158.23, Next Stake: 10%
| Stake | £115.82 | |||
| Score | Decimal Odds | Stake Amount | Winnings * | |
| 0-1 | 11 | £15.33 | £160.23 | |
| 2-0 | 12 | £14.05 | £160.23 | |
| 2-1 | 10.5 | £16.06 | £160.23 | |
| 3-1 | 25 | £6.75 | £160.23 | |
| 2-2 | 19 | £8.88 | £160.23 | |
| 1-2 | 15 | £11.24 | £160.23 | |
| 1-0 | 8.4 | £20.08 | £160.23 | |
| 1-1 | 7.2 | £23.42 | £160.23 | |
| ROI % | 38.34% | |||
| Profit Gain £ | £44.41 | |||
| * After 5% exchange commission | ||||
Please note that 3 of my weekend lays that I predicted yesterday are playing today. Yesterday’s 3 were all successful.
Good Luck if you decide to follow.
TDT
Hot Shot Score Predictor – Bet 3
Two wins out of two so far for this betting strategy. Please note this style of betting turned £1000 into £8753 last season and £11,123 the season before. Past results are only an indication of what can be done but i am confident you will not lose money in the long-term.
Today’s game is Liverpool vs Man City
Starting Bank: £1000, Current Bank: £1099.34, Next Stake: 10%
| Stake | £109.93 | ||
| Score | Decimal Odds | Stake Amount | Winnings * |
| 1-0 | 9.2 | £19.32 | £168.82 |
| 1-1 | 8.4 | £21.16 | £168.82 |
| 2-0 | 10.5 | £16.92 | £168.82 |
| 2-1 | 9.4 | £18.90 | £168.82 |
| 1-2 | 18 | £9.87 | £168.82 |
| 2-2 | 17.5 | £10.15 | £168.82 |
| 1-3 | 48 | £3.70 | £168.82 |
| 3-2 | 28 | £6.35 | £168.82 |
| 2-3 | 50 | £3.55 | £168.82 |
| ROI % | 53.57% | ||
| Profit Gain £ | £58.89 |
* After 5% Commission
I could not post the bet any earlier as I had to wait for the required liquidity. Please note odds constantly change (for better or worse) so below is a screenshot on the current odds for proof. If the odds do change slightly then I have a calculator which re-calculates the stake. If you require this, please contact Mick (Football-bets.co.uk Owner)
Good Luck
TDT
Play Away To Lay System
Morning,
After profitably identifying 3 out of 4 lays last weekend, please find below my lay system selections for this weekend.
Play Away to Lay System
Lay – Man City (vs. Liverpool) @ 4.40
Lay – Charlton (vs. Yeovil) @ 2.38
Lay – Hereford (vs. Burton) @ 3.65
Lay – Lazio (vs. Napoli) @ 5.10
Lay – Getafe (vs. Espanyol) @ 3.75
Lay – Almeria (vs. Mallorca) @ 5.10
Please note these are the Betfair Lay Prices Available at midnight on Friday Night.
Lay 1pt on each selection / Max Price is 5.50
Good Luck if your following!
The Hot Score Predictor & The High Roller Multiple Bet will follow Saturday morning.
Cheers
TDT
Hot Shot Score Predictor – Bet 2 (Tonight)
Hot Shot Score Predictor – Bet 2 – France vs Ireland
Starting Bank: £1000
Current Bank: £1051.88
Next Stake : £105.19
Potential Return: £47.46 (After 5% Commission)
| Stake | £105.19 | ||
| Score | Decimal Odds | Stake Amount | Winnings * |
| 0-0 | 9.4 | £17.09 | £152.65 |
| 0-1 | 17.5 | £9.18 | £152.65 |
| 1-1 | 9.2 | £17.47 | £152.65 |
| 2-1 | 10 | £16.07 | £152.65 |
| 1-2 | 32 | £5.02 | £152.65 |
| 3-1 | 17 | £9.45 | £152.65 |
| 3-2 | 50 | £3.21 | £152.65 |
| 2-2 | 48 | £3.35 | £152.65 |
| 2-0 | 6.6 | £24.35 | £152.65 |
| ROI % | 45.12% | ||
| Profit Gain £ | £47.46 |
Results Update / Sunday Advice
Unfortunately, the multiple bet lost us 3 pts but we were gunning for a 29 point win. All 3 matches could have easily been a draw on another day with two of them ending 1-0. This strategy is more high risk so expect losing runs but is also more rewarding long-term. As long as we keep looking for value in the selections they will come in.
Fo today, the Lay System has identifed Brighton as a lay but at 6/1 (BF 7.0) the price is over the advised maximum price of 5.50 so a no bet.
Based on Form alone Southampton should cruise through this game and are fairly priced @ 1.60 (8/13) on Betfair. If you check recent results both teams have been scoring and conceeding goals for fun so Over 2.5 goals seems more value @ 1.85 should you want to bet on the game.
Officially, there are no selections today.
Introduction & Weekend Selections
Introduction
Hello, my name is Rick Ford and I believe I can help you all make money from football using a variety of strategies. I am a full-time trader on the exchanges but just to give you a quick heads up on my background, I did a degree in Accounting & Business, qualified as an accountant then got a job as a football trader for a major bookmaker in London. Do not be fooled by the job title, football traders and even odd compilers do not really price up their own games or do lots of research for each game, they actually just follow the major bookmakers in Asia (who are the mainstream of gambling) and then get driven by margins (the over-round) and prices offered by competitors. Anyway, it was a too straight-jacket type of job for me so I was not involved with the bookmaker for long, but long enough to learn what I needed to learn and the experience along with actively betting on the football markets for over a decade has contributed to where I am today (after another stint at accountancy)
My Strategy
Football is easily the main source of income for bookmakers these days. Why? Because far too many football punters characteristically lose money from either chasing losses, not bet on draws (best result for bookmakers) or they bet with emotion rather than their head.
To try and help eliminate these hurdles and to satisfy everyone’s betting tastes I will introduce one lay system, a high strike rate / low risk betting on the correct score strategy and medium risk treble multiples. My systematic methods with disciplined staking will not make you rich overnight but will generate regular long-term profits. All bets are done on the exchanges, mainly Betfair.
This Weekend
Play Away to Lay System
This is my own proven lay system for the UK and Main European leagues. As it is the international break there are not many qualifiers this weekend but the bets we do have are the following:
Lay – Stockport (vs. Walsall) @ 4.60
Lay – Southend (vs. Yeovil) @ 3.10
Lay – Dagenham & Redbridge (vs. Accrington S) @ 2.76
Lay – Hereford (vs. Barnet) @ 4.50
Lay 1pt to Win (unless stated) / Max Price 5.50 (9/2)
Hot Shot Score Predictor
There is a low risk system that predicts the scores for the Premiership and Major European league games. I suggest a £1000 bank or a sizeable bank and we will stake 10% of the current balance for each bet.
For Saturday I will predict the England vs. Brazil score. This reason it is low risk is because we will pick numerous selections for a 25% up to a 200% Return on Investment (R.O.I) depending on the odds and confidence of the bet winning.
Starting Bank: £1000
10% Stake: £100
Potential Return: £51.88 (After 5% Commission)
| Stake |
£100.00 |
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Score |
Decimal Odds |
Stake Amount |
Winnings * |
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1-0 |
8.8 |
£18.17 |
£151.88 |
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1-1 |
7.6 |
£21.04 |
£151.88 |
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2-1 |
10 |
£15.99 |
£151.88 |
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2-2 |
19.5 |
£8.20 |
£151.88 |
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3-1 |
21 |
£7.61 |
£151.88 |
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1-3 |
42 |
£3.81 |
£151.88 |
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1-2 |
15 |
£10.66 |
£151.88 |
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2-0 |
11 |
£14.53 |
£151.88 |
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ROI % |
51.88% |
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Profit Gain £ |
£51.88 |
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| * After 5% exchange commission | ||||
Football-Bets.co.uk High Roller Multiple
Back 1pt x 3 on a Doubles Multiple
1) Darlington v Burton (Draw)
2) Rep of Ireland v France (Draw)
3) Brazil v England (Draw)
1 and 2 @ 10.35 Odds
1 and 3 @ 11.29 Odds
2 and 3 @ 10.35 Odds